SIIA warns of crisis if H-1B isn't increased

Date: Tuesday, January 29, 2008 12:01 AM

<<<<< JOB DESTRUCTION NEWSLETTER No. 1813 -- 1/28/2008 >>>>>

The Software & Information Industry Association acknowledged that it's not
easy to lobby Congress to increase the number of H-1B visas at a time when the
economy is crashing and unemployment is increasing, but they are doing it
anyway. Their argument is that unlike all other job markets in the U.S.
the software industry is unique because it will have shortages of qualified
Americans from now until eternity.

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http://www.computerworld.com/action/article.do?command=viewArticleBasic&articleId=9058941

Software group says that without more foreign workers in U.S., jobs may go
overseas Patrick Thibodeau January 24, 2008 (Computerworld) The U.S. software
industry is larger than the food processing industry in terms of revenue,
according to an IT trade group that wants Congress to raise the annual cap on
H-1B visas, give permanent residency to foreign nationals who graduate from
U.S. colleges and back trade policies that give companies unfettered access to
global markets.

The Software & Information Industry Association today released a report
(download PDF) that assembles a variety of economic data in an effort to give
policy-makers a better understanding of the software industry's importance to
the U.S. economy. For instance, the SIIA said that software vendors and
digital content providers employed a combined total of 2.7 million people in
2006, a net gain of more than 400,000 jobs over the 1997 level. That's a 17%
increase in head count, the group said.

SIIA president Ken Wasch acknowledged that the timing of the report's release
was a little awkward, coming during a time when the stock market is falling,
interest rates are being cut and Congress is working to craft an economic
stimulus bill.

"Our industry is not going to be able to repeal the economic business cycle,"
Wasch said. If the U.S. economy goes into a recession, he added, "our industry
will be impacted as well."

But Wasch claimed that the software industry has outpaced other economic
sectors and the economy as a whole on growth over the past few years. "In an
economic downturn, surely it's not going to be good news for our industry," he
said. "But our industry ought to be performing better than industries that are
fading in economic importance."

Nonetheless, Wasch contended that maintaining the industry's current level of
growth in the U.S. will require immigration reform. Without the ability to add
talented workers as needed, "we're creating an incentive for the industry to
create knowledge centers outside the United States," he said.

The average annual wage paid in the software industry during 2006 was $75,400,
according to the SIIA, which said that figure is about 78% higher than the
median wage for all workers in the private sector.

The numbers cited by the SIIA are largely based on statistics from government
reports and, consequently, tend to be one or two years old. But the intent of
such reports from trade groups often is to add weight to their congressional
policy initiatives.

For instance, the SIIA is calling for improvements to science, math and
technology training overall in U.S. schools. That is a common argument made by
tech industry groups, which also cite a shortage of skilled talent in the U.S.
and the need to bring in qualified workers from overseas. Wasch said he thinks
permanent-residency green cards should be "stapled" to the diplomas of U.S.
college graduates from foreign countries.

But on the issue of math and science training, the Urban Institute, a
nonpartisan policy research and analysis group in Washington, concluded in a
report released in November that "the U.S. is not at any particular
disadvantage compared with most nations, and the supply of qualified [science
and engineering] graduates is large and ranks among the best internationally."

Ron Hira, an assistant professor of public policy at the Rochester Institute
of Technology in New York, called the SIIA's report "a defensive document" in
an e-mail response to questions about it.

Hira said he thinks that a better comparison than measuring the U.S.
software industry against other sectors is to look at the growth rates of the
large offshore outsourcing companies vs. the growth of software jobs in the
U.S. "I think everyone will be taken aback," he wrote. "The growth of IT labor
demand in the U.S. is a pittance compared to the explosive growth in India."

Another policy issue of importance to the SIIA is trade barriers. Wasch said
that the European Union and countries in other regions are placing what
amounts to a "patchwork quilt" of restrictions that impede the flow of data --
for instance, limiting the ability of companies to store information about
overseas customers on systems in the U.S. The trade group would like to see
some standardization of such restrictions, he added.

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